The first phase peaks around 15 April 2020 with 8.905 death per day, then recedes to 4.677 deaths on and 3.628 on 1st June. However, here we have distinctively two phases. 8 days after the turn towards the second wave of contamination. It corresponds to a wave of deaths that lasted until 17 October 2020, i.e. The first wave – the global contamination rise – lasted from December 2019 to 9 October 2020. The deadly impact of the waves of contagion Deadly impact in two phases for the first global contamination rise – until 17 October 2020 Global COVID-19 infections and deaths between January 2020 and 5 November 2021 (source Reuters COVID-19 Global tracker). Using the available global statistics, unsurprisingly, we find a periodicity of waves of death similar to what we found with infections. We now use the elements identified in this first article as basis to ground our evaluation of impacts. There we also highlighted the factors that would shape this fifth wave. There, we assessed it was very likely the global start of the fifth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic had taken place at the end of October 2021.
#What is the 5th wave series
This series on impacts of the COVID-19 fifth wave is the second part of the previous article: “ Towards a Covid-19 Fifth Wave?“. We also highlights some hurdles that political authorities could face regarding the acceptance of the 3rd dose. as case study and, adding the case of Israel, we deduce possible global trends.
Then we address the various factors that will impact the lethality of the fifth wave, notably the two anti-viral treatments of Merck and Pfizer and the waning vaccinal immunity after six months. We focus, first, here, on the lethality of the previous waves and examine if a pattern emerges. China, the “Health Silk Road” of Vaccines, and Security.Losing Texas to Climate Change and the COVID-19?.The Fifth Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Lethality.Long COVID and the Fifth Wave – The Hidden Pandemic.Long COVID and the Fifth Wave – Three Scenarios.The next article will address the Long-Covid, a key yet rarely accounted for aspect of the pandemic. Here, we shall look at the potential lethality of the fifth wave. Indeed, these effects are those that determine all others.
This article and the next will focus on direct health-related impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic fifth wave. (Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli)Īs the global fifth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic has now started, should we be worried about it? How lethal will it be? Scanning and Monitoring for Warning on Global Issues.War (General and Islamic State, Libya, Syria, Ukraine).Communication of Strategic Foresight and Early Warning.Methodology of Early Warning and Scanning.Donation – Fund Analysis against Global Threats.Geopolitical Uncertainty Exposure Diagnostic.Online Course – Scenario-building for Geopolitical Risk and Crisis Anticipation.Online Course: Geopolitical Risks and Crisis Anticipation – Analytical Model.
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